{"id":190,"date":"2026-06-04T09:39:31","date_gmt":"2026-06-04T09:39:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/modernhomejournals.com\/?p=190"},"modified":"2026-06-04T09:39:31","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T09:39:31","slug":"want-oppo-on-gavin-newsom-look-to-california-democrats","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/modernhomejournals.com\/?p=190","title":{"rendered":"Want Oppo on Gavin Newsom? Look to California Democrats"},"content":{"rendered":"
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President Donald Trump portrays Gavin Newsom\u2019s California as a dystopian hellscape of garbage, homelessness and wildfires, where people are voting with their feet by leaving.<\/p>\n

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But the Democrats who are running to succeed Newsom have also painted a portrait of a state in decline. Though they don\u2019t often mention Newsom by name, their campaigns have centered on the state\u2019s struggles with affordability and accountability \u2014 implicitly pointing to Newsom\u2019s failure to make good on some of the audacious promises he made when he first ran.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s the first draft of the playbook Democratic rivals will use against Newsom if \u2014 as widely expected \u2014 he makes a run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028. Newsom\u2019s 7 \u00bd years as governor have been defined by his ambition and the lofty goals he set to solve the state\u2019s problems with housing, homelessness and health care. But his hopes have often collided with the complexity of solving California\u2019s most entrenched problems, even as he has governed in a state with a Democratic supermajority.<\/p>\n

The slate of Democratic candidates for governor seized on the disconnect.<\/p>\n

Casting his ballot last week during early voting, billionaire Democrat Tom Steyer argued that he would need to make deep structural changes \u201cso that Californians can afford to live in California,\u201d flicking at the tens of thousands of people moving out<\/u><\/span> of the state due to costs.<\/p>\n

When Xavier Becerra was asked during a recent forum why California spent $24 billion on homelessness between 2018 and 2023 only to see the unsheltered population grow, he replied that the state \u201cdidn\u2019t focus on outcomes\u201d and that \u201caccountability wasn\u2019t there.\u201d<\/p>\n

\n<\/div>\n

And San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan\u2019s stinging descriptions of California\u2019s challenges could well end up in a future attack ad. In his closing argument the weekend before the primary, he described California as having one of the highest effective poverty rates<\/u><\/span>, one of the highest unemployment rates<\/u><\/span> and among the highest energy costs \u201cdespite nearly doubling the size of government in less than a decade.\u201d<\/p>\n

As a darling of Democrats nationally, Newsom is armed with his own very loud megaphone in his relentless campaign to take on the president. Now, he is aggressively pushing back against the beleaguered image of his state, as he satirically adopts some of Trump\u2019s own language by calling the criticism \u201cCalifornia Derangement Syndrome.\u201d<\/p>\n

In recent speeches and forums, he has played up California\u2019s economic \u201cdominance\u201d as the fourth-largest economy<\/u><\/span> in the world, noting that it has more Fortune 500 companies than any other state, two-thirds of the nation\u2019s venture capital investment and the most Nobel laureates.<\/p>\n

Newsom frequently rattles off a rapid-fire list of policies he has implemented to help lower- and middle-income families reduce their costs. He points to recent wage increases, free diapers for newborns, his successful push for universal transitional kindergarten and the creation of nearly a half-million subsidized child care slots for low- or moderate-income families. Though he abandoned his campaign pledge to implement a single-payer health care system in California, he has argued that California has come close to achieving universal health care coverage, with an uninsured rate that dropped to about 6% in 2025.<\/p>\n

\u201cNo state is helping families at the scale California is,\u201d his office wrote recently on X<\/u><\/span>.<\/p>\n

When Newsom ran for governor in 2018, he set goals on housing and homelessness that even he called \u201caudacious.\u201d While his allies point out that the roots of those problems go back decades in California, Steven Maviglio, a California Democratic strategist, argued that \u201cthere was an issue of overpromising and underdelivering.\u201d<\/p>\n

\n<\/div>\n

Chief among Newsom\u2019s promises was his now-abandoned pledge<\/u><\/span> to drive the construction of 3.5 million housing units by 2025 to deal with California\u2019s housing shortage. It would have required at least quadrupling the pace of building, a goal that many housing experts considered unachievable.<\/p>\n

Instead, state data shows new housing permits are still hovering around 100,000 a year \u2014 about the same level as when Newsom took office in 2019. The California Department of Housing and Community Development acknowledges<\/u><\/span> that ongoing production \u201ccontinues to fall far below the projected need,\u201d which it estimates is about 180,000 homes annually. And the most recent statewide housing plan created a much longer runway for progress, calling for permitting 2.5 million new housing units by 2030 (when Newsom will be long gone).<\/p>\n

The Democratic gubernatorial candidates also drew attention to a 2025 RAND study<\/u><\/span> that found that the cost of building multifamily housing is 2.3 times higher in California than in Texas. The same study found that the time to bring a project to completion is 22 months longer in California than in Texas.<\/p>\n

On the campaign trail, former Rep. Katie Porter advocated for requiring new housing permits to be issued within 30 days and for the state to do more to limit fees on new projects. She argued that developers face an impossible level of uncertainty and a mountain of fees from local jurisdictions. \u201cPretty soon the project is unaffordable,\u201d she said during a housing forum with The New York Times\u2019 Ezra Klein.<\/p>\n

But some lawmakers who have worked closely with Newsom in Sacramento argue that the figures cited by the candidates mask the extensive work Newsom and his allies have done to help pare back the thicket of state regulations and permitting hurdles that have slowed home construction in California.<\/p>\n

\u201cDecades and decades of laws designed to slow construction have achieved their purpose,\u201d Buffy Wicks, a Democratic state assembly member, said in an interview. Wicks has driven many of the recent pro-housing reforms in the state legislature. \u201cWe have spent the last six to eight years trying to dismantle a lot of that.\u201d<\/p>\n

The governor has \u201cused his political capital in ways that have been profound,\u201d Wicks added.<\/p>\n

Last year, Newsom and Wicks worked with other pro-housing legislators like state Sen. Scott Wiener, a Democrat, to push through reforms exempting certain urban housing projects from the complex regulations in the California Environmental Quality Act as well as a controversial proposal aimed at expediting the construction of high-density housing near transit hubs.<\/p>\n

To reduce housing construction costs, Newsom and his allies are now turning their focus to pressuring cities and counties to stop charging development \u201cimpact fees\u201d that they levy on state-funded affordable-housing projects. As part of his new budget proposal, Newsom also warned that the state\u2019s largest cities and counties will need to start contributing a local match in order to draw down flexible housing and homelessness money from the state to show they have \u201cskin in the game.\u201d<\/p>\n

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Earlier this year, Newsom threatened to sue 15 cities and counties that were not moving ahead with plans to create more affordable housing in their communities. Newsom and California Attorney General Rob Bonta also successfully sued<\/u><\/span> the conservative city of Huntington Beach for failing to comply with state housing laws, which Newsom chalked up to \u201cpathetic NIMBY behavior.\u201d Under a new state law signed by the governor, the court has ordered the city to pay $160,000 in fines and an additional $50,000 each month for failing to comply with state housing laws.<\/p>\n

\n<\/div>\n

\u201cThe governor has really prioritized enforcement and accountability, and it\u2019s sent a real clear signal to cities that if you blow off these laws, there are going to be consequences,\u201d said Wiener, who authored the law to impose penalties on cities that were falling behind. \u201cWe have been step-by-step been restructuring the system.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cIt was a 50-year problem,\u201d Wiener said in an interview. \u201cIt\u2019s not going to take us 50 years to solve it, but it\u2019s not going to take a few years either.\u201d<\/p>\n

Along with housing costs, California voters expressed frustration throughout the gubernatorial campaign with what they view as a lack of visible progress in reducing the state\u2019s homeless population despite the tens of billions of dollars Newsom has directed toward the problem. While California accounts for about 12% of the nation\u2019s population, it continues to have about 43% of the country\u2019s unsheltered population.<\/p>\n

New data released last week by the U.S Department of Housing and Urban Development may help the governor make his case. It showed a modest 2.8% drop in homelessness in California between 2024 and 2025, and a 6.8% dip in unsheltered homelessness. Declines in the overall homeless population were more significant in New York, Illinois, Florida and Hawaii, but homelessness increased in 28 states during that period.<\/p>\n

In his state of the state address earlier this year, Newsom pointed to more dramatic drops in homelessness in specific areas like Los Angeles (a 10.3% reduction) and Contra Costa County (a 34.8% decline) based on the state\u2019s internal data.<\/p>\n

\u201cOur investments are paying off,\u201d Newsom said in the address.<\/p>\n

The governor declined an interview request about his legacy. His spokesperson Tara Gallegos argued that candidates will advance \u201ca scrutiny narrative now, only so they can later take credit for what this administration had already set in motion.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cThe writing is already on the wall, Newsom strategies are turning this crisis around,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n

Still, several of the gubernatorial candidates \u2014 including Becerra, Mahan and Steve Hilton \u2014 argued that there was not enough accountability measuring outcomes from Newsom\u2019s historic early investments in homelessness.<\/p>\n

\n<\/div>\n

One frequent topic on the campaign trail was a 2024 state audit<\/u><\/span> that found the state lacked \u201ccurrent information on the ongoing costs and outcomes of its homelessness programs\u201d after spending more than $24 billion during the five-year period between 2018 and 2023.<\/p>\n

That led the Newsom administration to build a new data-integration system to give them a clear lens on what local governments were spending their homeless funding on to help steer future dollars. The Newsom administration also created an accountability website where Californians can sort by county and track how much progress they\u2019re making in reducing unsheltered homelessness and how many affordable housing units are being built in each jurisdiction.<\/p>\n

The visibility into those numbers is intended to hold those cities and counties to account for the dollars they are spending and \u201cwho is actually producing results,\u201d Newsom said during a recent budget presentation.<\/p>\n

Allies of the governor say he ultimately may be judged less on individual investments than the structural policy changes he has presided over \u2014 from a statewide policy aimed at resolving homeless encampments to major changes in the state\u2019s antiquated mental health system and its conservatorship laws that Newsom hopes will end up moving many more unhoused people into treatment.<\/p>\n

Jason Elliott, who was the governor\u2019s top advisor on homelessness, noted that a 2024 ballot proposition that Newsom championed devotes $4 billion to building and rehabilitating both residential and outpatient mental-health-treatment beds. Another $2 billion from that bond will be directed toward permanent supportive housing. Starting in July, counties must also begin spending a third of the money they draw down from the state to house people with mental illness.<\/p>\n

\u201cOne of the challenging things about working in homeless policy is that the right thing to do is not necessarily the thing that yields the fastest visible results,\u201d Elliott said. He noted that the administration has tried to both address the immediate problems like dangerous encampments while also making long-term structural changes to address the mental health challenges so many homeless people experience.<\/p>\n

\n<\/div>\n

\u201cIf you Rip Van Winkle and wake up 10 years from now, I think you\u2019re going to observe a very different, much more effective mental health and homeless system,\u201d Elliott said. \u201cTen years is way too long for anybody to wait, so there\u2019s all this interim work that\u2019s happening: clearing encampments, building interim housing, deploying tiny homes to make sure that we\u2019re not just waiting five or ten years for a solution.\u201d<\/p>\n

Rob Stutzman, a California-based Republican strategist, said Newsom\u2019s rivals, both Democrats and Republicans, will have plenty of vulnerabilities to target if he runs for the White House in 2028.<\/p>\n

\u201cHe\u2019s going to leave California without achieving what he wanted, not even close on housing, and he\u2019s going to leave energy prices potentially in crisis,\u201d Stutzman said, noting the average price of gas in California has soared to $6 a gallon, <\/b>in part because of Trump\u2019s war with Iran. Because of the rising cost of living, he said, \u201cPeople are choosing not to live here.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cThat\u2019s Newsom\u2019s problem,\u201d Stutzman said. \u201cAll these specific issues add up. And I think it\u2019s just the stone that you can\u2019t roll up to the top of the mountain.\u201d<\/p>\n

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This year\u2019s slate of gubernatorial candidates campaigned on many of the state\u2019s issues with affordability \u2014 an implicit knock at Newsom\u2019s tenure.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":189,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-190","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-2028-election"],"yoast_head":"\nWant Oppo on Gavin Newsom? Look to California Democrats - Modern Home Journals<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/modernhomejournals.com\/?p=190\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Want Oppo on Gavin Newsom? 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